Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change

Uncertainty Investigation of Precipitation and Temperature Scenarios for the Sira Basin under Climate Change Impact

Results of assessment of the future climate change impacts is associated with some uncertainties. Considering the range of uncertainties increases reliability of the results. In this study, climate change impacts on daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature of Sira basin are assessed using LARS-WG model, for 2036-65 period. Accordingly, uncertainty of new emissions scenarios (RCP2.6،...

Projections of uncertainties in climate change scenarios into expected winter wheat yields

The crop model CERES-Wheat in combination with the stochastic weather generator were used to quantify the effect of uncertainties in selected climate change scenarios on the yields of winter wheat, which is the most important European cereal crop. Seven experimental sites with the high quality experimental data were selected in order to evaluate the crop model and to carry out the climate chang...

Decision making under uncertainty and learning about climate change

Transportation Planning, Climate Change, and Decisionmaking Under Uncertainty

ravel demand forecasting as widely practiced today deals inadequately with uncertainty. Methods currently used to forecast travel at the regional level simplify the world for which they forecast by relying heavily on point estimates. Forecasts are developed through the application of sequences of independent models in which the outputs from one become inputs to others. The current transportatio...

Climate Change and Crop Yields in Iran and Other OIC Countries

Climate change is the main phenomenon that directly affects the world environment, and changes in the environment affect economic sectors differently. The most important impacts of climate change would be on enhancing the average global temperature and the decrease in precipitation. The agricultural sector is the first and most affected sector in the climate change. We examined the impact of te...